São Carlos vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
3 - 1
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
BEB
67%
20%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ECN
2 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
1 - 0
BEB
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OSV
1 - 2
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 1
LEM
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |