São Carlos vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 1
SAO
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRÊ
17%
20%
64%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
SAL
76%
17%
8%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 2
GRÊ
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |