São Carlos vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
24%
25%
52%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
4 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
4 - 0
FRA
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 3
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SER
2 - 4
FRA
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |