São Carlos vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAO
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
COM
3 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SER
0 - 3
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FER
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
INT
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
IND
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |