São Carlos vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
INT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DES
0 - 1
MAT
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
NOR
26%
23%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
ATI
1 - 1
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
CAT
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +4 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
DES
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |