São Carlos vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 1
SAO
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
IND
2 - 3
SAO
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
MAT
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
ATI
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FER
0 - 0
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
RIO
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |