São Carlos vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SEP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 3
GRÊ
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 1
SAO
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
AME
70%
18%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -2 |