São Carlos vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
PEN
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
AGU
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
FLA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
AGU
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |