Cup Paulista Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 1-1
São Caetano vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BSP
1 - 1
SAO
34%
23%
44%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BSP
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
AGU
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 2
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
3 - 0
PRI
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
XVD
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 2
XVD
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |