São Caetano vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ITU
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 1
SAO
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
XVD
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
XVD
1 - 1
COR
11%
23%
66%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 1
XVD
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
OES
3 - 0
XVD
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 2
MIR
53%
23%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |