São Caetano vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
0 - 3
SAO
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 2
GAM
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 0
SCI
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
3 - 2
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
2 - 2
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |