São Caetano vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAT
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 2
VEL
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 4
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIO
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |