São Caetano vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 0
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |