São Caetano vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
33%
26%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |