São Caetano vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 2
JUV
17%
23%
59%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
SAO
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
BER
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
OES
0 - 0
USA
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
USA
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
CAT
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |