São Caetano vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAO
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
3 - 0
SAO
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
SER
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |