São Caetano vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 2
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
JUV
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |