São Caetano vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
41%
24%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
FLA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 3
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 2
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
44 | 86 | 42 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
2 - 5
NAC
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
SJS
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SJS
1 - 3
SAO
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |