São Caetano vs CA Joseense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FFL
3 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 2
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA Joseense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
AUD
17%
21%
62%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 1
TAU
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 0
SJS
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
INT
2 - 1
SJS
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |