São Caetano vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
CAB
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 13 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
TAU
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 3
OES
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OES
2 - 1
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |