Paulista A1 Final
Global 2-2
São Caetano vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 4
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
RIO
3 - 2
SAO
16%
21%
63%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAO
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
SAO
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 0
PAS
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 0
SAN
16%
21%
64%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
JUV
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NOR
1 - 4
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | +1 |