São Caetano vs Santos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
CAB
81%
14%
5%
|
64 | 12 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
TAU
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
27%
23%
51%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 5
SAN
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FER
3 - 2
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 4
FER
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |