São Caetano vs Santos B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
2 - 3
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
7%
14%
78%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
DES
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
MIR
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
7%
14%
78%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +1 |