São Caetano vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
9%
16%
76%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
TAU
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
AGU
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAO
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAB
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |