São Caetano vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAT
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ITA
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |