São Caetano vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 0
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATI
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
ATI
1 - 0
SAO
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
VOT
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
ATI
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 3
VOT
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VOT
1 - 1
RIO
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ATI
0 - 0
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |