São Caetano vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 0
SAO
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 3
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 4
SAN
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 0
PAU
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
RIO
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |