São Caetano vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
NOV
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
5 - 1
SAO
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
9%
23%
68%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAO
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 88 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
PPE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 0
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
25%
24%
51%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 2
PPE
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |