São Caetano vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAU
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
4 - 1
ABC
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 2
BOA
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PPE
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |