São Caetano vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
AME
2 - 1
SAO
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAO
18%
27%
55%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
STR
2 - 0
PEÑ
25%
23%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
STR
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2004 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
AME
3 - 1
PEÑ
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CSM
1 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |