São Caetano vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
SAO
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
JEC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
TUB
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TUB
0 - 0
PEL
38%
26%
35%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
3 - 1
SAO
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SLU
0 - 0
PEL
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 0
JEC
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |