São Caetano vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GOI
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 2
FLA
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
PAY
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
7 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
CRZ
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |