São Caetano vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAO
0 - 0
IFC
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
PAU
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
PAU
29%
27%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |