São Caetano vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 1
COR
27%
30%
43%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 0
COM
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OES
1 - 2
MOG
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
OES
79%
16%
6%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 2
OES
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
OES
1 - 1
LIN
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |