São Caetano vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
SAO
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
OES
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
ITU
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
GRÊ
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
OES
4 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
54%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |