São Caetano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
XVD
2 - 3
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
JUV
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
BAT
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 4
MOG
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 1
CAP
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 3
AGU
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
XVD
1 - 1
MOG
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |