São Caetano vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 1
SAN
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAO
36%
23%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 4
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 3
CAT
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
OLI
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |