São Caetano vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
VOT
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 6
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEM
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |