São Caetano vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
DUQ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
JUV
44%
27%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
TUP
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAC
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
MOG
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |