São Caetano vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
67%
22%
12%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEM
2 - 2
CAB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
LEM
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
OES
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |