São Caetano vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
OES
0 - 2
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 2
TAU
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
RIO
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 3
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
LEM
2 - 1
RBB
13%
19%
69%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 1
PRI
19%
23%
59%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
1 - 2
LEM
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LEM
0 - 1
POR
7%
15%
78%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LEM
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +1 |