São Caetano vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
MAT
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 4
SAO
39%
26%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
OES
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |