São Caetano vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
COR
0 - 1
SAO
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SAO
5 - 2
ATM
43%
23%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SAO
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
VAS
1 - 2
SAO
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 2
AMF
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
GAM
5 - 0
GUA
25%
27%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 1
BAH
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PPE
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |