São Caetano vs Foz do Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 0
SAO
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SAO
5 - 0
LAJ
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 4
SAO
37%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Foz do Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FOZ
4 - 5
VOL
30%
28%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
FOZ
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOZ
1 - 1
OPE
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
JMA
2 - 1
FOZ
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FOZ
3 - 1
JMA
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |