São Caetano vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAL
48%
25%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAO
3 - 2
MOG
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ICA
0 - 2
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 3
ICA
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |