São Caetano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 2
OLI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
OLI
0 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2002 |
AME
1 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 0
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
FLU
5 - 1
CRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 1
BRA
88%
9%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 1
FLU
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |