São Caetano vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATP
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
SAO
2 - 0
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BAH
5 - 0
SAO
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
1 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |