São Caetano vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
2 - 3
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
7%
14%
78%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
SAO
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
DES
2 - 3
SAO
11%
17%
72%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 4
DES
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
DES
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
ATI
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |