São Caetano vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AME
0 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
57%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CRI
4 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRZ
39%
24%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
IFC
0 - 1
CRZ
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CRZ
1 - 1
IFC
91%
7%
3%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATM
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
0 - 2
CRZ
16%
21%
64%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |