São Caetano vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 2
MIR
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAO
30%
23%
48%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 4
COR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ITU
3 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
AVA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 1
CRI
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUB
3 - 0
CRI
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |